Friday, January 21, 2011

Playoffs: Conference Round - Predictions

Win Probabilities:


- Pittsburgh Steelers (59%)
- Green Bay Packers (59%)


Spread Cover Probabilities:


- Green Bay Packers -3 (56%)
- Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (52%)

Playoffs: Conference Round - Seasonal Prediction Model

Playoffs: Divisional Round Seasonal Prediction Model Super Bowl Champions:


Pittsburgh Steelers





The Seasonal Prediction Model is an extension of the weekly prediction model based on the probabilities derived from the logistic regression analysis. The outcome of every game for the season is based on the current team data available. From these outcomes seasonal records are compiled, playoff match ups are decided and the Super Bowl Champion is derived.



2010 NFL Season Power Rankings: Playoffs - Conference Round

Conference Round Power Rankings


1) Pittsburgh Steelers (64%)
2) New York Jets (61%)
3) Green Bay Packers (60%)
4) Chicago Bears (58%)

Seasonal Rushing Defensive Rankings: Divisional Round

Seasonal Rushing Defensive Rankings


1) Pittsburgh Steelers (0.18%)
2) Chicago Bears (0.22%)
3) Green Bay Packers (0.26%)
4) New York Jets (0.29%)

Seasonal Game Equity Defensive Rankings: Divisional Round

Seasonal Game Equity Defensive Rankings


1) Pittsburgh Steelers (2.06%)
2) Chicago Bears (4.59%)
3) Green Bay Packers (8.16%)
4) New York Jets (11.35%)

Seasonal Rushing Rankings: Divisional Round

Seasonal Rushing Rankings


1) New York Jets (0.60%)
2) Pittsburgh Steelers (0.52%)
3) Green Bay Packers (0.46%)
4) Chicago Bears (0.42%)

Seasonal Game Equity Rankings: Divisional Round

Seasonal Game Equity Rankings


1) Pittsburgh Steelers (13.01%)
2) Green Bay Packers (9.82%)
3) Chicago Bears (8.18%)
4) New York Jets (6.76%)